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Writer's pictureReeky Fontaine

College Football Betting Picks: Best Bet


Why Bet Alabama?

  • Advanced Stats Edge: Alabama ranked 3rd in the nation in EPA/Play, a key measure of offensive and defensive efficiency. Michigan ranked 31st, giving Alabama a clear advantage.

  • Star Quarterback Play: Jalen Milroe (Alabama) is a dual-threat dynamo:

    • Passing: 2,652 yards, 15 touchdowns.

    • Rushing: 719 yards, 20 touchdowns.

  • Running Game Depth: With Justice Haynes in the transfer portal, Jam Miller (641 yards, 7 TDs) and highly-touted freshman Richard Young will carry the load.

  • Reliable Receivers: Alabama’s top two receivers (Ryan Williams and Germie Bernard) combined for over 1,500 yards and 10 touchdowns this season.

Why Fade Michigan?

  • Weakened Offense: Michigan will be missing key contributors:

    • Star running backs Kalel Mullings and Donovan Edwards (1,500+ yards, 16 TDs) are out.

    • Tight end Colston Loveland (500+ yards, 5 TDs) will also miss the game.

  • Quarterback Concerns: Senior QB Davis Warren struggled this season:

    • Stats: 1,126 yards, 6 touchdowns, and 9 interceptions.

  • Lack of Offensive Depth: Michigan’s receiving corps has underperformed all year, leaving the team’s offensive potential heavily reliant on unproven sophomore RB Benjamin Hall.

Expert Pick: Alabama -14.5

  • With superior stats, depth, and fewer key absences, Alabama is the safer bet to dominate this matchup.

Pro Tip: Grab the line on FanDuel Sportsbook to lock in this play!

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